There will be several heavy chalks across the Breeders’ Cup weekend, and one of those hot-ticket horses dominates the market for the G1 Juvenile Fillies. The California girl Tamara is an unbeaten G1 winner, and such is the hype surrounding her that other fillies with similar profiles, such as Candied, Brightwork and Just FYI, already seem to be playing catch-up even before the gates open. Get the 2023 BC Juvenile Fillies Odds at JazzSports.

Breeders Cup Odds

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies

G1, $2m, 1m 1/16 dirt, 2yo fillies, Santa Anita, November 3

As for plenty of races within the Breeders’ Cup canon, there was an abundance of win-and-in contests for the Juvenile Fillies staged last weekend, but the filly at the top of the market maintained her position without leaving her stall despite some fine performances across the country.

In 2012, the brilliant Beholder won her first of three races at the Breeders’ Cup when leading all the way in the Juvenile Fillies. Now her daughter Tamara (+125), also trained by Richard Mandella for the same owner, is bidding to follow in mama’s footsteps and is a hot favourite to maintain the family tradition.

Tamara was an easy winner on debut over six and a half furlongs at Del Mar and returned to the oceanside circuit for the 2023 G1 Del Mar Debutante over seven furlongs, in which she crushed the opposition with the minimum of fuss.

She blew them all away by six and three-quarter lengths, in a fast time with the jockey sitting as still as a statue, storming clear of several rivals who will likely reoppose at the big show with a mountain to climb. It was the sort of barnstorming success often seen in a maiden, but this was a G1 contest against horses who had proved their ability at a similar level. The extra yardage is unlikely to be a problem and Tamara sets a very high standard.

Juvenile Fillies Odds

The Debutante fourth Chatalas (+1000) returned at the weekend in the 2023 G2 Chandelier, over the course and distance of the Juvenile Fillies, and rolled gate-to-wire for a dominant score by a length and a half from the rallying Scalable (+1500), with Dua (+2000) a one-paced third, a neck behind. 

Further back were old rivals Gate To Paradise (+3500), third in the Debutante and fifth in the Chandelier, and Laurent (+2500), a promising runner-up in the Debutante but a helpless last of nine in the Chandelier, and no longer a likely runner on the big day. Depending on how you look at it, that result either confirmed Tamara’s brilliance or offered hope that the extra yardage had brought an improved performance from Chatalas – probably a bit of both.

Scalable is a two-race maiden, but this was a big step up from her debut at Saratoga when she looked as though the education would do her the power of good. Maidens do not often win at the Breeders’ Cup but this barnmate to Candied (see below) is not without a shot.

At the same track the following day, the unbeaten Dreamfyre (+1800) was a game winner of the 2023 G3 Surfer Girl over a mile on her first start on the lawn and is reportedly going to stick to that surface at the Breeders’ Cup.

Staying with the California contingent, Crazy Hot (+2500) has yet to make the bridge to Graded stakes, but nailed her stakes breakthrough at Del Mar when going coast-to-coast over six furlongs to beat Prancingthruparis (+3300) by a length and a quarter, with seven lengths back to the third horse. It is possible that stretching out could bring about further improvement.

FYI, it’s not just California

Back east, there was another impressive prep winner at the weekend in the shape of Just FYI (+800), who like Tamara is unbeaten in two and put the opposition to the sword in the 2023 G1 Frizette on a sloppy track at Aqueduct over a mile.

She did all her good work late, clearing away to win by three and three-quarter lengths, and it was a big step forward from her Saratoga debut victory with the extra yardage much appreciated.

Third was fellow stakes debutante Life Talk (+1500), beaten another half-length when lacking a kick, while the favoured Emery (+2000) may have found the distance against her when weakening to be fourth, another length back. She won on debut over six furlongs and that may be what she needs for the time being.

Surprisingly, Todd Pletcher has never won the Juvenile Fillies, but he has a strong candidate this year in Candied (+500) – another filly unbeaten in two after a G1 victory – who leapt into the limelight last Friday in the 2023 Alcibiades at Keeneland over a mile-sixteenth.

She sprang a mild upset when pulling a long way clear with the runner-up VV’s Dream (+800); they were separated by a length with five and three-quarter lengths back to Alys Beach (+2500) in third.

That wide-margin superiority is always a big positive, and the way that Candied came from further back to run down the more seasoned VV’s Dream – a romping winner of the 2023 G3 Pocahontas at Churchill Downs by eight and three-quarter lengths, with Youalmosthadme (+1500) and Hot Beach (+2800) second and third – is worth remembering.

Back in fifth in the Alcibiades was Brightwork (+2000), who was giving up her unbeaten record after compiling a four-streak. Her spree included victories in the 2023 G1 Spinaway at Saratoga over seven furlongs, when Alys Beach was a distant fourth, and in the 2023 G3 Adirondack at the same track over six and a half, when she put five lengths into Here U Come Again (+2500), who in turn was well clear of the third horse.

Brightwork weakened quickly at Keeneland – perhaps it was the distance, perhaps she is a sprinter, or maybe she is simply ready for a break after four runs in four months. Magic Cross (+2200) was fourth in the Adirondack but rebounded with victory in a stakes over a mile at the Spa. Stretching out seemed to be the key on that occasion, and this front-runner – a barnmate of Just FYI – could be operating slightly under the radar.

2023 BC Juvenile Fillies Early Prediction

There are plenty of talented fillies here but the way Tamara romped to G1 success last time indicates that she could be something special.

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