Breeders Cup Juvenile Odds & Betting Picks

Two-thirds of the field in the G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile have won or finished second at G1 level, making for a strong and deep field for the highlight of ‘Future Stars Friday’ at Santa Anita. West-coast stars Muth and Prince Of Monaco go head to head with east-coast big hitters Locked and Timberlake in a race that will decide championship honours among the two-year-old colts. Get the 2023 Breeders Cup Juvenile Odds at JazzSports.

Breeders Cup Odds

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile

G1, $2m, 1m 1/16 dirt, 2yo males, Santa Anita, Friday 4pm PT

There is no standout two-year-old colt at this point, no champion-elect at short odds waiting impatiently to be crowned, which has resulted in a deep, open contest for the Juvenile that brings together major players from west coast and east coast for a thoroughly compelling showdown.

And when we say west coast, we mean Bob Baffert, who has won the Juvenile a joint-record five times and puts three in the gate in a bid to take that record for himself. The California division is relatively shallow and Baffert’s trio have already run against each other, giving bettors a basis for comparison.

His main chance is probably Muth (+250), who is already a G1 winner over course and distance after his impressive performance in the 2023 American Pharoah four weeks ago. Muth came through from midpack and drew away in fine style, pulling three and three-quarter lengths clear of his barnmate Wine Me Up (+1500), who had laid down the fractions on just his second start but had no answer to the winner’s power.

That gives Muth very solid credentials, being a marked improvement for stretching out after his earlier defeat in the 2023 G3 Best Pal at Del Mar over six furlongs. This brings in his other barnmate Prince Of Monaco (+500), unbeaten in three including that Best Pal, when he rolled Muth by four and a quarter lengths.

Prince Of Monaco then extended his streak in the 2023 G1 Del Mar Futurity over seven furlongs, an easier score than the official margin of three-quarters of a length suggests, as he was always in control and was given as easy a race as possible, although it is worth noting that the runner-up is a four-race maiden.

This three-way intramural contest is a puzzle, but Muth has been there and done it well and his chance is obvious. Prince Of Monaco stretches out now, and given the speed he has shown there must be a doubt about whether going longer will suit him as well as it has several of his rivals. Wine Me Up is playing catch-up, but is further down the learning curve than his barnmates and could make a leap forward. If he has to lead, though, it will be some job to make it stick.

The smartly-named Timberlake (+300) – by Into Mischief out of Pin Up – is also likely to be forward after delivering the most eyecatching east-coast prep success, when he splashed through the slop to win the 2023 G1 Champagne over a mile at Aqueduct with style and substance.

He raced just behind the pace at the Big A before clearing right away to score by four and a quarter lengths from front-runner General Partner (+1000), who could not cope with the winner but nevertheless had more than six lengths in hand over the show horse on a very promising stakes debut.

Timberlake had the blinkers removed there, after taking the place in the 2023 G1 Hopeful at Saratoga with headgear on, and a fast track holds no fears for him. The race set-up should also suit him, but General Partner is likely to have competition out front and that may compromise his outside chance.

Is Locked loaded for Pletcher?

Deja vu is the call concerning Locked (+200), whose trainer Todd Pletcher won this race for a third time last year with Forte, as Locked has taken the same path to the big show as his now-retired former barnmate by winning the 2023 G1 Breeders’ Futurity at Keeneland Racecourse over a mile-sixteenth on his stakes debut.

It looked like very hard work but at least it proved he has the heart for a battle, as he duelled through the stretch with the tenacious The Wine Steward (+1500) before coming out on top by a half-length. The show horse was a fair way back, an outcome that often indicates that the exacta horses are a little bit special.

Locked obviously has talent and great potential, but the disparity in odds between he and The Wine Steward is unexpected. The Wine Steward went into the race unbeaten and – like Muth – improved plenty for stretching out past six furlongs, and he could be an overlay for a trainer who won this in 2011.

Pletcher has other options, although they both have a curveball kink attached. Noted (+2500) went down by a nose in the 2023 G2 Bourbon at Keeneland over a mile-sixteenth on turf and now returns to the main track, over which he won a mile stakes in a slow time at Monmouth Park two starts ago. He has the feel of nothing more than a plucky third-stringer, while it is hard to know what to make of Fierceness (+1000), who was odds-on for the Champagne won by Timberlake but blew right out, finishing more than 20 lengths back in seventh.

He looked amazing when smashing up a Saratoga sprint maiden on his debut, but it is hard to believe he can go from seventh place to winning at the Breeders’ Cup, and the wiseguys will probably send him off an underlay.

The experienced Irish raider Cuban Thunder (+7500) was stakes-placed over seven furlongs on synthetics back home, but has only won a maiden, is way behind these on a class metric and looks very easy to ignore, while Japanese hope Ecoro Neo (+4000) is a two-race maiden and could be completely out of his depth. He was runner-up on his dirt debut and can only improve, although a G1 championship race is no place to learn on the job.

Breeders Cup Juvenile Early Prediction

The four G1 winners all have major claims but MUTH has already done it over course and distance, seemingly much improved for stretching out from sprints. He has excellent prospects of giving Bob Baffert a record sixth Juvenile win.

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