2023 Saudi Derby Odds, Field & Betting Predictions

Can the dream team of Bob Baffert and Frankie Dettori bring home the prize with the top-class Havnameltdown who is aiming to make it five wins from six starts? Don’t miss our 2023 Saudi Derby Betting Preview and raise your winning chances with our free betting picks!

Saudi Derby

Grade 3 – Purse $1,500,000  –  1 mile  – Dirt –  3 -Year-Olds

A nice field of thirteen runners for this Grade 3 and the sole representative from the US is the Bob Baffert-trained Havnameltdown who will be ridden by Frankie Dettori.

The Baffert inmate has won four from five, with his only defeat coming at the hands of Cave Rock in the Run Happy Del Mar Futurity. That piece of form itself is good enough to win this, and Havnameltdown has since secured a Grade 2 success on home turf and is the likely chalk here.

It is unlikely that any of the home team runners will be good enough to upset the Baffert runner, but we have a strong contingent from Japan.

Top jockey Yuga Kawada rides From Dusk and this three-year-old was well beaten in the Grade 1 Asia Hai back in December. He has since come out and had a prep run when finishing third in a Listed race, form that leaves him enough to find.

Continuar is already showing a progressive profile and after breaking the maiden tag the first time out, this colt has since gone on to win a minor stakes race last time. The form is nothing spectacular, but the horse is progressing and he has form on a fast and sloppy surface, so underfoot conditions should be no issue. A sloppy track will offer some upside here.

One of the more experienced runners here is the Japanese-trained Derma Sotogake who has had six career starts and it is interesting to note that since switching from turf to dirt he is unbeaten in his last three starts. He won his final start as a two-year-old when trying the dirt for the first time and his win last time came in Listed class. This is a step up the class ladder, but he looks like a horse of some potential.

Ecoro Ares is the final contender from Japan and although he has won two from four, he has been well beaten when stepping up the class ladder and looks likely to struggle here.

An interesting contender is the Brazilian import Loreley who had won his first three races in Brazil before shipping over to the UAE and running in the UAE 2000 Guineas trial back in January. He was beaten 26 lengths, but that did come off the back of a fifty-plus day layoff and along with the travel element, we can expect this one to be in much better shape coming into this race.

His counterpart Es-Unico was second in that race and his form is on a par with his compatriot, and he was coming off an even longer layoff so certainly a horse of interest for exotics.

Looking at the home-based contenders then there are a few that look of interest and one of those is Commissioner King who has had three runs and won a Grade 3 last time when stepping up the class ladder, and he looks the main local hope to thwart the international raiders.

The recent qualifying trial for this race included a number of this field and My Map who is now unbeaten in four starts won that race. Whether he has the class to win this remains to be seen stepping up the class ladder, but he is hugely progressive and looks sure to run well.

Others that have a chance of a slice underneath are Almuhelm who was second in the qualifying trial and Atta Alghali who was third.

2023 Saudi Derby Odds & Betting Predictions

HorseTrainerOdds by JazzSports
Es UnicoAntonio Cintra+1400
LoreleyRicardo Colombo+1600
AlmulhemAhmed Alfarraj+2000
AlmurtajizAhmad Abdulwahed+3300
Atta AlghaliAbdah Alathaab+2500
BaalbFawaz Alghareeban+3300
Commissioner KingSabah Alshammri+2000
ContinuarYoshito Yahagi+500
Derma SotogakeHidetaka Otonashi+600
Ecoro AresHideyuki Mori+1000
From DuskHideyuki Mori+1000
HavnameltdownBob Baffert+138
My MapKhalid Aladhayani+1200

Although we have a field of thirteen going to post, there are quite a few we can discount on ratings. On a rating of 112 Havnameltdown’s chance is there for all to see, and it looks impossible for this one not to be involved in the finish, and he could just be a class above his rivals. However his odds on the board will reflect that, and he may not be sound betting value as he is only a couple of pounds clear of the next highest-rated horse.

Therefore our main selection is ES-UNICO from Brazil who is rated at just 4lbs inferior but has already produced a very strong performance at Meydan in the UAE 2000 Guineas trial and was bought over early to acclimatize. His overall form is strong, he is progressive, and can give the Baffert runner plenty to think about.

Of the others, then local runner My Map looks sure to run well and should give a good account stepping up the class ladder, while Japanese raider Derma Sotogake is going for a four-timer and is a real danger rated just 2lbs inferior to the likely chalk from the Bob Baffert barn.

Keep up with Horse Racing Tote and anticipate the latest Pegasus Odds.  We offer the major US and Europe Racetrack entries . Remember to Sign-up and get up to a 10% horse rebate.

Daily Horse Betting Rebate

Take advantage to our free Horse Betting Guide and become a winner today. We offer a guide for all levels!

Find us on Social Media for instant 2023 Saudi Derby news!