2023 The Very One Stakes Odds & More Gulfstream Park Races

Chad Brown targets the 1-2-3 in the 2023 The Very One Stakes with three top-class fillies aiming to make it a clean sweep for the Eclipse Award-winning trainer.

The Very One Stakes

Grade 3 – Purse $150,000 – 1 3/8 miles – Turf – 4-Year-Olds and Up for Fillies and Mares

Ten runners are due to head to the Gulfstream Park gate at 1.27 pm ET for this competitive Grade 3 Stakes race for fillies and mares.

We highlighted Chad Brown and he has three runners in here with MyLady, Higher Truth, and Virginia Joy. But which one is the main pick from the Brown barn?

Virginia Joy is a proven Grade 2 performer and has also run well at the top table and today gets a nice bit of class relief. The question mark has to be the layoff, as she has not been on the track competitively since the Breeders Cup in November. A recent drill saw her go 5 furlongs in a minute and one, so no doubt she looks ready to roll.

MyLady is an interesting runner having only had one run Stateside. That came way back in October so the layoff is a factor to consider. She makes her debut for Brown here and recent workouts suggest she is ready to fire along with her barn buddy. Her European form is very solid with strong runs in the German 1000 Guineas and Derby, and she looks a likely closer here.

Brown’s other runner Higher Truth is not too far behind her barn buddies and coming off a 180-day lay should not be a problem with Brown having a 32% strike rate with such horses. She won a $62k OC when last seen and this is a definite step up the class ladder, but her back form screams quality and this very lightly raced four-year-old holds a strong chance underneath.

Libretto and Beside Herself are two that look outclassed here, but if we are looking at runners outside of the Brown trio, then Lady Rockstar and Transient have to be of interest.

Lady Rockstar didn’t really do anything special when racing across the pond, but has taken to US racing very well and has been running well in this spot the last three times, including two back when beaten just a length. The stretch-out in distance looks to offer plenty of upside and she is definitely one for exotics.

Transientfrom the Saffie Joseph Jr barn is another mare that comes here in top form having hit the board in her last seven races, including two wins. It’s a big pointer that Gaffalione keeps faith in her, and there could be a lot more to come.

Broadway Boogie, Ensemble and Flying Fortress look a little outclassed.

The Very One Stakes Odds & Betting Pick

HorseJockeyOdds by JazzSports
Libretto (IRE)Edgar Perez+3000
Beside HerselfLuis Saez+800
Lady Rockstar (GB)Joel Rosario+350
Mylady (GER)Edgard J. Zayas+800
Broadway BoogieJorge Ruiz+2000
Transient (GB)Tyler Gaffalione+600
Higher Truth (IRE)Jose L. Ortiz+500
Ensemble (IRE)Javier Castellano+800
Flying FortressJunior Alvarado+2000
Virginia Joy (GER)Irad Ortiz, Jr.+250

Because all of the Brown runners are coming off long layoffs, it makes this a difficult puzzle to solve, but of the three of them, it could be MyLady that fares best. She was a genuine Grade 1 performer in Germany and her drills have been sharp enough to suggest a big run.

Coming down on a winner was tough but LADY ROCKSTAR could just cause a shock here. Only five runs Stateside and this big stretch-out in distance could see her take a big step forward on what she has shown us so far.

If fit Virginia Joy would probably win, but she may have to fight it out for a slice underneath with the improving Transient this time around.

Canadian Turf Stakes

Grade 3 – Purse $150,000 – 1 1/16 miles – Turf – 4-Year-Olds and Up

Highly touted Emmanuel looks to make it back-to-back graded stakes wins for master trainer Todd Pletcher after bouncing back to form last time.

We have to start with the gate one runner English Bee, one of the most experienced and consistent runners in the race. He has been in strong form in this spot in five of his last six runs. Took a class drop last time to get back in the winner’s circle, but could find it tough to get the graded stakes win he deserves. One for exotics players going for the superfecta.

Todd Pletchers horses have been running well in Saudi Arabia over the weekend and the highly touted Emmanuel aims to secure back-to-back Grade 3’s. He travelled oh so smoothly last time and when asked to go and win his race by Javier Castellano, he soon widened and eventually won by just over a length in hand. He is the likely chalk here and could prove difficult to beat.

If we are looking at proven graded stakes form then look no further than Good Governance who was second in the Grade 2 Fort Lauderdale two back before an even better run last time when tackling Grade 1 foes and only being beaten just over 3 lengths when encountering traffic problems.

This is a serious step down the class ladder and he will prove to be a tough foe for the Baffert runner.

Looking at some potential upsets, and two that look very interesting, even if not for win purposes are Souper Dormy and the lightly raced Fort Washington.

Souper Dormy has been sprinting for most of his career but won the first time over two turns last time, and in the process posted a career-best Beyer speed figure of 95. He closed well for that win and although facing much deeper waters here, could be a nice price for across-the-board handicappers.

Fort Washington is lightly raced after just nine starts but has hit the board in six of those, including two visits to the winner’s circle. Don’t expect to see him early, but he will be rolling late here and could grab a slice underneath. He was last with a half mile to run last time but was only beaten a neck in third, and he was only beaten two and a half lengths in this spot two back.

California Frolic, Dakota Gold and Steady On might find this level too tough, but another couple to watch out for are Safe Conduct and Shadow Sphinx who might be able to get competitive.

Canadian Turf Stakes Odds & Betting Prediction

HorseJockeyOdds by JazzSports
English BeeLuis Saez+600
California FrolicJunior Alvarado+2000
EmmanuelJavier Castellano+160
Fort WashingtonJose L. Ortiz+1500
Good Governance (GB)Julien R. Leparoux+600
Shadow SphinxTyler Gaffalione+800
Souper DormyEdgard J. Zayas+1500
Safe ConductEmma-Jayne Wilson+800
Dakota GoldMiguel Angel Vasquez+1200
Steady OnIrad Ortiz, Jr.+600

We tipped Emmanuel for the win last time, and he could quite easily go and double up here. However, we think there is one that just might have that bit more class and a share of the purse may be the best for Emmanuel this time around.

The main selection is GOOD GOVERNANCE who is taking a significant class drop here. He is a seven-year-old but has only had eleven career starts, so it is clear he has not been an easy horse to train. Either of his last two runs would have been good enough to win this and he may just have too much class for these.

Two that should be nice prices on the board and can be fighting it out for a slice underneath are Souper Dormy and Fort Washington.

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Herecomesthebride Stakes

Grade 3 – Purse $200,000 – 1 mile – Turf – 3-Year-Old Fillies

Breeders Cup fourth Cairo Consort looks to continue her fine start to the year and secure back-to-back Grade 3 wins.

Twelve fillies go to post here over the mile turf track and we have to kick off with one of the proven graded stakes runners and that is American Rockette from the Bill Mott barn.

This filly broke her maiden at the first attempt, and then ran two nice races in Grade 1 company. So it was disappointing that she could not win when dropped in class for her final two-year-old start where she was well beaten.

She gets some nice class relief today and this first go on turf also looks to give some upside.

The horse in here with undoubtedly the best form in the race is Cairo Consort who was a strong closer when winning in this spot last time. She had run exceptionally well to finish fourth in last year’s Breeders Cup, which followed on from a fine second in The Natalma Stakes. She is fit from two runs this year and should prove very tough to beat here.

A great mix of fillies here and two that are having their first runs stateside are Papilio and Revalita, and of those two then Papilio looks more of interest after performing well in a couple of high-class graded stakes races in Ireland.

Revalita who runs for the powerful Chad Brown barn has won two of her three starts at a lower level and is definitely one to keep a close eye on for the future.

We also have a few very lightly raced fillies here who are on a sharp upward curve, and none more so than Moonage Daydream who is now two from three after winning a minor stakes race back in November, and in the process posting a career-best 81 Beyer figure. She moves from sprinting to a route, so that is the big question mark, but produced a bullet 47-second drill last time and is one for exotics players to be interested in.

Another light-raced and improving filly is Danse Macabre who has had five runs and has improved every time. She broke the maiden tag at the second time of asking and then won her first stakes race two back. More improvement came last time in this spot when hitting the board and she looks sure to run a strong race.

Malleymoo has work to do having been beaten by the chalk last time, while Riding Pretty and Tituba look outclassed.

Herecomesthebride Stakes Odds & Betting Pick

HorseJockeyOdds by JazzSports
Anna Karenine (FR)Tyler Gaffalione+500
American RocketteJunior Alvarado+1200
MalleymooJoel Rosario+1500
Riding PrettyPaco Lopez+3000
Blind SpotEdgard J. Zayas+1500
Revalita (FR)Jose L. Ortiz+600
Cairo ConsortIrad Ortiz, Jr.+300
Papilio (IRE)Luis Saez+500
Danse MacabreAdam Beschizza+1000
Moonage DaydreamEdgar Perez+1200
TitubaJulien R. Leparoux+3000
Sweetlou’sgotacesJavier Castellano+600

Danse Macabre is a filly on the up and she looks to be the one who may give the chalk the most to think about. The stretch-out looks to give plenty of upside and she should hit the board here.

Looking at the form and it is impossible to get away from CAIRO CONSORT. Her running style as a closer looks to be the only chink in her armour, but she is clearly the class angle here, is racing against horses that are not race sharp, so should have too much class for these.

Papilio and American Rockette look like two that could be there at the wire and either might grab a slice underneath.

Honey Fox Stakes

Grade 3 – Purse $150,000 – 1 mile – Turf – 4-Year-Olds and Up for Fillies and Mares

After not getting to the track as a two-year-old, Faith In Humanity looks to make up for lost time and win back-to-back Grade 3’s after her win last time.

Another strong-looking field here and eleven go to post at 4.05 pm ET for this 1-mile turf event for the older fillies and mares.

The likely chalk here will be Chad Brown’s Speak Of The Devil who was beaten at the top table last time but had previously won a Grade 2 over this distance at Churchill Downs. She gets some nice class relief here and having had just two runs in the US after coming from France, she is sure to improve.

An interesting runner is the filly in gate one, Faith In Humanity, who never ran as a two-year-old but was two from three in her three-year-old career. She won in this spot back in September and with plenty of upside to come, she’ll be one of the favorites here after going a minute flat in her last two five-furlong drills.

White Frost produced a career-best Beyer last time and is already a winner in this spot, so has to be respected. She won here on the class drop last time and has to be respected for top trainer Bill Mott.

There are a few here that look outclassed, including Kahiko, Miss Delicious and Princess Theorem.

However, one that might be a lively outsider is Miss Yearwood who has hit the board in six of her eight starts, including two wins. Her run last time in this spot showed she has a touch of class, and being one of the more lightly raced runners here, she could well be worth including in exotics at a potential double-figure price.

The other that deserves a strong mention is the horse drawn widest of all, and that is Sweet Dani Girl who was a winner last time when taking a class drop. She had previously contested the Grade 2 8 Belles, where not disgraced, and comes in here off a nice drill on the 25th of February.

Honey Fox Stakes Odds & Betting Pick

HorseJockeyOdds by JazzSports
Faith in Humanity (FR)Joel Rosario+500
Sweet Enough (GB)Emma-Jayne Wilson+2000
Speak of the Devil (FR)Irad Ortiz, Jr.+140
White FrostJunior Alvarado+350
KahikoPaco Lopez+2000
Miss DeliciousJavier Castellano+2000
Princess TheoremTyler Gaffalione+1200
Miss YearwoodLuca Panici+1200
Touch of ClassJulien R. Leparoux+2000
Fast as FlightJose L. Ortiz+1200
Sweet Dani GirlLuis Saez+1500

No doubting the chances of the Brown runner Speak Of The Devil, and although she might win, and should hit the board, she will probably not represent any value on the boards and is a pass for win purposes.

Our main selection is FAITH IN HUMANITY which looks to have plenty of improvement and will likely attempt to go gate-to-wire here.

The classy Sweet Dani Girl and progressive Miss Yearwood should be fighting for a spot on the board.

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