Alleged Stakes Odds & More Curragh Graded Races

Who will win in the battle of the O’Brien’s with Aidan O’Brien bringing back the potential superstar Point Lonsdale to the 2023 Alleged Stakes at Curragh

Alleged Stakes

Grade 3 – Purse $61,000 – 1 mile 2 furlongs – Turf – 4-Year-Olds and Up

We have to start with the Aidan Obrien-trained prolific winner Point Lonsdale 11/8 who won his first four races as a two-year-old and then finished off that year with a second spot (rated 115) in the Grade 1 National Stakes behind the Godolphin-trained Native Trail. He then reappeared for the 2000 Guineas at Newmarket the following May but was well down the field and has not been seen since, so has a near-year layoff to overcome.

The biggest danger looks like coming from son Donnacha who trains the joint highest-rated runner, Piz Badile 100/30 who is a very interesting contender.

He broke the maiden tag first time at Killarney and then went on to win the Group 3 Ballysax Stakes at Leopardstown in April. He was well beaten in the English Derby but then ran a stormer in the Irish Derby here at the Curragh racecourse when second to Westover (he ran well at the recent Dubai World Cup). That form is strong and now having had time to mature, he could be better than this spot, and his best form last year was in the spring.

For those looking for a longshot to include in exotics then Self Belief, 7/1 looks interesting. He did not run as a two-year-old but broke the maiden tag first time when taking a 20-runner maiden here at the Curragh. He has since won the Trigo Stakes at Leopardstown and will be one of the late closers here.

Fastnet Crown 12/1 and Lafayette 7/1 look just a little outclassed in this but Visualisation 6/1 should be in the mix for a slice underneath after winning just last week when taking the minor Listed Devoy Stakes. He was three lengths in front of Self Belief there but now is 3lbs worse off, so it should be tight between those two.

Alleged Stakes Odds & Betting Pick

HorseJockeyOdds by Jazzsports
Point LonsdaleWayne Lordan+275
Piz BadileGavin Ryan+300
VisualisationDeclan McDonogh+300
Self BeliefW J Lee+400
LayfayetteColin Keane+600
Fastnet CrownDylan Browne McMonagle+2000

Such a tough race to call with the top two on the boards coming back from long lays but the Donnacha O’Brien runner Piz Badile has proven class on his side and will prove very difficult to keep off the board.

Donnacha goes up against his father here, and the main selection goes to POINT LONSDALE trained by Dad Aiden. He looked a superstar in his two-year-old year, and although he comes back from a long layoff, that should not put anybody off, and he could be too classy for these.

Having already shown himself to be in good form, Self Belief should be fighting for a slice underneath along with Visualisation.

Gladness Stakes

Grade 3 – Purse $61,000 – 7 furlongs – Turf – 3-Year-Olds And Upwards

Can the improving Mea Domina take advantage of a recent run and take this step up the class ladder and register a first-stakes success?

It will be interesting to see if Mea Domina 11/4 can continue her fine form after winning her last two runs last season and running a fine race on the first run and seasonal debut for the Twomey barn when finishing third in the Listed Heritage Stakes at Leopardstown in early March.

That run came over the mile and the cutback in distance gives plenty of upside. She has plenty of speed and will look to dominate this small field and go gate to wire.

The two top-rated horses on speed figures are Hannibal Barca 9/2 and Power Under Me 100/30. 

Hannibal Barca was well held in the Listed Dubai Diamond Stakes at Dundalk on the synthetic last time, and reverting back to the lawn does give some upside. He did win the Grade 3 Gallinule Stakes here at the Curragh last year, so has the back form to be competitive but has to overcome a couple of dull efforts since then.

Power Under Me from the Ger Lyons barn has a similar profile. He won the Knockaire Stakes (Listed) two back, and then was fifth in the same race as Mea Domina when beaten a length and a quarter by that rival but giving 5lbs. It should be close between those two with the weight difference of just 3 lbs today.

Carry The One 11/1 and Cosmic Vega 8/1 look outclassed here but one that does catch the eye is the Joseph O’Brien-trained Goldana 5/1 who has recently moved to the young trainer’s barn from Germany. She was an easy six-length winner of a minor stakes race at Hannover over a mile and one furlong when last seen in October, and prior to that had hit the board at the same level in two seven-furlong events.

No doubt she has talent. The layoff and cutback in the distance are minor downsides but she could just be a bit better class than these.

Gladness Stakes Odds & Betting Prediction

HorseJockeyOdds by Jazzsports
Mea DominaW J Lee+200
GoldanaDylan Browne McMonagle+350
Power Under MeColin Keane+450
Hannibal BarcaMikey Sheehy+500
CarrytheoneBen Coen+900
NightcliffN G McCullagh+900
Cosmic VegaRona Whelan+1200

There is very little to choose between Mea Domina and Power Under Me and both have strong chances and should hit the board with perhaps the improving Mea Domina coming out on top in that battle.

However, the German import and impeccably bred GOLDANA by Galileo Gold gets the vote to carry on where she left off last season.

For exotics, we like the chances of Nightcliff who could run well at big odds on the boards.

Stand by for the current  2023 Kentucky Derby Odds. Review the World’s major Racetrack entriesSign-up and get up to a 10% horse rebate. There is no best rebate in the market!

Daily Horse Betting Rebate

Increase your profit chances, with our Horse Betting Guide. We have a guide for all levels!

Follow us on Social Media for Instant Alleged Stakes & Curragh updates!