Bourbon Stakes Odds, Field & Picks

Two-year-olds are the focus on the Spinster undercard at Keeneland on Sunday, with the G2 Bourbon Stakes attracting a full field of turf runners including stakes winners Noted, Tok Tok and Vote No, and the emphasis switching to speed for the ungraded Indian Summer, in which the progressive Amidst Waves is bidding to stretch her winning streak to four when taking on the boys for the first time.

Breeders Cup Odds

Bourbon Stakes

G2, $350,000, 1m 1/16 turf, 2yo, 5.48pm ET

There are quite a few two-year-old races across the country over the weekend that point to the Breeders’ Cup and arguably the most competitive of them can be found at Keeneland on Sunday, when the Bourbon – a win-and-in for the G1 BC Juvenile Turf – has drawn an overflow field.

A wide-open morning-line indicates a two-horse war, possibly a three-horse conflict, with the big-money duo of Todd Pletcher and Irad Ortiz responsible for the favoured Noted (3-1), who already has a stakes win under his belt.

He rallied hard over the Monmouth Park mile to catch the leader and score by a length, and it is a good sign that there were nine lengths back to the third horse. That was on the main track, but Noted won his maiden over this distance on the lawn at Saratoga and the switch is fine. His barnmate Nomos (15-1) was a dead-heat fourth in the 2023 G3 With Anticipation over a mile-sixteenth at the Spa, and could benefit from the first-time blinkers.

Brendan Walsh loads both barrels and has a bead on the target with Palm Tree (9-2), who broke his maiden over six and a half furlongs at Kentucky Downs, toughing it out and showing he would like to go longer. His barnmate First World War (6-1) got it right first time at the same track, winning comfortably by two lengths over a mile in a good time, and together they give Walsh a strong hand.

The unbeaten Tok Tok (15-1) – two-for-two – showed distinct potential when driving on to win a stakes at Colonial Downs over a mile-sixteenth, and rates an overlay in such an open contest given his good pedigree and prominent connections.

Vote No (8-1) is also two-for-two and landed a stakes at Kentucky Downs over six and a half furlongs, getting home late but right on time. He could have improvement in store over this distance and, along with fellow Kentucky Downs winner Coin Miner (8-1), who took down an allowance over six and a half furlongs, could figure. More form from that track comes from Double Your Money (10-1), who made most of the running and held on grittily to score by a nose over a mile at second asking, but it was a dawdling time.

Depiction (10-1) took the handbrake off when romping by five and a half lengths in an Ellis Park maiden over a mile; it was not much of a race but it is hard to quibble that margin. Gorilla Trek (15-1) already has big-track cachet after winning on debut at Churchill Downs over a mile-sixteenth, surging to get home by a neck, and is another who could be overpriced.

2023 Bourbon Stakes Odds

HorseJockeyHorse Racing Odds by Jazzsports
Palm TreeDeclan Cannon+450
Gorilla TrekJulien R. Leparoux+1500
DepictionCristian A. Torres+1000
Can GroupFrancisco Arrieta+3000
NotedIrad Ortiz, Jr.+300
Vote NoGerardo Corrales+800
Fortune SellerJose Lezcano+1200
Tok TokJohn R. Velazquez+1500
Coin MinerJames Graham+800
NomosLuis Saez+1500
Double Your MoneyRicardo Santana, Jr+1000
First World WarTyler Gaffalione+600

An open contest in which FIRST WORLD WAR, who impressed when winning on debut in a good time, has the scope to improve past stakes winners.

Indian Summer Stakes

Ungraded, $250,000, 5 1/2f turf, 2yo, 4.44pm ET

George Weaver had a tremendous summer at Saratoga with his two-year-olds and brings a class act to the table in the Indian Summer, a race otherwise light on stakes performers.

This is the first time Amidst Waves (3-1) has been asked to take on the boys, but she is in pole position after running up a three-timer on the east coast, including two stakes wins. She stalked and pounced for a comfortable score at Monmouth Park over five furlongs, and then produced a better performance at Saratoga over an extra sixteenth when getting there late by a nose.

She has moved up with every start and a repeat of that Spa victory would make her very hard to beat, especially with her class edge over the opposition.

Saratoga debut winner Cowes (15-1), who fought hard to score by three-quarters of a length over five and a half furlongs, is at long odds for a Spa winner, although the runner-up was beaten next time. It is hard to see why his barnmate Sponge Bath (8-1), only third in a Kentucky Downs allowance last time, is twice the price.

Steve Asmussen puts two in the gate, with Candymaker (6-1) the pick on jockey bookings. He has been on the bench since winning at 1-10 on debut over five furlongs at Horseshoe Indianapolis in May, beating a horse who won next time out.

He must have been doing well in the mornings to go off at that price but the long absence is a query. His barnmate and two-race maiden Committee Of One (4-1) chased home Palm Tree (runs in the Bourbon, see above) at Kentucky Downs over six and a half furlongs, with this cutback not necessarily a positive.

The time was not that fast but there was plenty to like about Pinotslilgirl (8-1) when she got off the mark at the third attempt at Kentucky Downs, cruising gate-to-wire by two and three-quarter lengths. She could improve, as could Shards (9-2), who rolled his rivals flat when getting off the dime at the third time of asking, cruising by five lengths over five and a half furlongs at Colonial Downs.

Bledsoe (10-1) might appreciate the cutback after trying to go gate-to-wire in a stakes at Kentucky Downs over six and a half furlongs, fading dramatically in the final eighth to finish fifth. He was a convincing winner over four and a half furlongs on his debut here, and home-town trainer Wesley Ward is all about speed.

Just a half-length separated Fairhopecurly (15-1) and Riparound (20-1) when they filled the exacta in a five-furlong allowance at Horseshoe Indianapolis. Fairhopecurly is two-for-two after that and there could be more to come, but she will need another career-best just to get in the mix.

2023 Indian Summer Stakes Odds

HorseJockeyHorse Racing Odds by Jazzsports
ShardsAdam Beschizza+450
Amidst WavesJohn R. Velazquez+300
CowesJose Lezcano+1500
Sponge BathTyler Gaffalione+800
CandymakerIrad Ortiz, Jr+600
Committee of OneCristian A. Torres+400
BledsoeLuis Saez+1000
FairhopecurlyGerardo Corrales+1500
RiparoundEdgar Morales+2000
PinotslilgirlJack Gilligan+800

Sometimes it pays to not ask too many questions and just settle for the obvious, and dual stakes-winner AMIDST WAVES is an absolute stand-out here.

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