The G1 Breeders’ Cup Turf has been won by Europe eight times in the last ten years and another overseas victory looks highly likely at Santa Anita, with Irish stars Auguste Rodin and Bolshoi Ballet potentially joined by German ace Fantastic Moon, British hopes King Of Steel, Hukum and Westover, and last year’s winner Rebel’s Romance. Odds from JazzSports. Check here the 2023 Breeders’ Cup Turf Odds from JazzSports.
Breeders’ Cup Turf
G1, $4,000,000, 1m 4f turf, 3yo+, Santa Anita, November 4
Some describe the Breeders’ Cup as the ‘world championships’, which is not far from the truth, but this year the two-day extravaganza may not attract the world champion, with the top-rated horse on the planet unlikely to line up in the Turf.
The brilliant Japanese star Equinox (+350) has a six-for-eight count with four G1 wins and would be a heavy chalk if appearing at Santa Anita, but his target is reportedly the $10m Japan Cup on November 26. The second-choice Mostahdaf (+400) is expected to stick to ten furlongs for targets in Europe, so is another unlikely traveller.
If they stay away, the big-hitter in a race that is very often booked for export may be the Irish ace Auguste Rodin (+500), who won his fourth G1 when bouncing back to his best in the ten-furlong Irish Champion at Leopardstown last weekend, beating barnmate Luxembourg (+2000) by a half-length, with King Of Steel (+2000) three-quarters of a length further back in fourth and likely to prefer stretching out again.
The issue with Auguste Rodin could be the journey. He has run incredibly badly twice this year, both times after flying from Ireland to Britain, but if he has time to acclimatize in California then it may not affect him. Fast ground is right up his street, so he is expected to miss the G1 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe at Longchamp on October 1 and get a clear run at the Breeders’ Cup.
The Arc is the first port of call for several major European players, and Breeders’ Cup plans will not be made until after that race. They include 2023 G1 King George one-two Hukum (+1200) and Westover (+1000) and 2023 G1 Coronation Cup winner Emily Upjohn (+1500), all of whom would not entirely appreciate the likely fast ground at Santa Anita. One who certainly will is the German horse Fantastic Moon (+1000), winner of the 2023 G2 Niel at Longchamp last Sunday, who stays a mile and a half well.
The 2022 Breeders’ Cup Turf winner and fifth Rebel’s Romance (+1500) and Nations Pride (+1000) could represent Godolphin, and the latter is preferred after his defeat of Fantastic Moon in a G1 in Germany last time.
The US turf route division is weaker than usual this year and the distance is likely to be a stumbling block for the home team, let alone the wide gulf in class.
2023 Breeders’ Cup Early prediction
If the travelling does not kill his mojo then multiple G1 winner Auguste Rodin has a class edge on the competition and fast ground will suit.
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