Here is the Dubai World Cup Card check the odds, betting picks & preview.
The Al Quoz Sprint
Grade 1 – Purse $1,490,000 – 6 furlongs – Turf – 3-Year-Olds and Up
Al Dasim looks to step up the class ladder in an attempt to register his fourth straight win at Meydan this year and strike a blow for the 3-year-olds.
Rated 112 and getting weight from his older rivals, it is no surprise to see Al Dasim (+250) in here as the chalk. He has won his last five races, including the last three here at Meydan. He stepped up the class ladder last time to land the G3 Nad Al Sheba Turf Sprint and now takes a big step up the class ladder. He is improving rapidly and could well make the jump.
He is receiving 9 lbs from the top-rated Al Suhail (+450) from the Godolphin team and that puts him a few pounds ahead of that rival.
Al Suhail has been in fine form himself and was last seen winning over seven furlongs here at Meydan when winning the Ras Al Khor Conditions Stakes easily by four lengths. The cut-back in distance poses a different question here, and he’ll need to be on his A game against some solid sprinters. William Buick takes the ride.
Tyler Gaffalione takes the mount on Brendan Walsh’s Cazadero (+1600), he was last seen in last year’s Breeders Cup where he was well held in the Breeders Cup Turf Sprint at Keeneland, and he’ll be doing very well to grab a slice of this valuable purse.
The Japanese and Hong Kong raiders always command respect and Duke Wai (+1200) is an interesting runner. He has beaten 3 lengths against two of Hong Kong’s greatest sprinters (Lucky Sweynesse and Wellington) in the G1 Centenary Sprint Cup back in February and has since come out and won a top-class handicap. His late closing style should be suited here, as this is sure to be run at a blazing speed on the front end.
His compatriot Sight Success (+500) is another to take seriously as he was in front of Duke Wai in the above race and comes here fresh. He’ll be one of the runners pressing the speed, and if able to get to the front, could be tough to peg back.
Others that look of interest include Logo Hunter (+2500), Miqyass (+2500), and Ladies Church (+1200), with the last-named looking to have a solid each-way chance.
The Al Quoz Sprint Prediction
It looks like the top three in the market should all be there at the finish, but the top two, Al Suhail and Al Dasim have slight doubts. Of the two we like Al Dasim and this one should hit the board.
However, the main vote goes to a value-priced longshot and it is the Hong Kong Raider DUKE WAI that gets a narrow vote. He met trouble in running in the Centenary Sprint Cup and can turn the form around with Sight Success.
Al Suhail might just find the cutback to six furlongs against him but can be fighting for a slice underneath with Sight Success.
The Al Quoz Sprint Odds
|HORSE||ODDS TO WIN AL QUOZ SPRINT|
|THUNDER OF NIAGARA||+6500|
The Godolphin Mile
Grade 2 – Purse $880,000 – 1 mile – Turf – 3-Year-Olds and Up
Can last year’s 80/1 shock winner Bathrat Leon go back-to-back in The Godolphin Mile and make it a win for the Japanese raiders?
One thing is for sure and that will be that Bathrat Leon is not going to go off a big price longshot like last year, and he is the chalk here at morning line odds of (+250).
He had a warm-up race in Japan in February when winning the G3 1351 Sprint Cup, and it is clear connections have prepared him for a back-to-back attempt at the Godolphin Mile.
After winning this race last year he ran in two of Europe’s richest mile races (The Qatar Sussex Stakes and the Prix Jaques Le Marois) and was not disgraced in those Grade 1 events. He’ll look to go gate to wire here and will be a tough foe to beat.
One that will attempt to do just that is Win Carnelian (+700), another Japanese raider who has won four of his last five races, including two Grade 3 events with the last of those being the Tokyo Shimbun Hai at Tokyo racecourse back in early February. He is another who likes to be on the speed and it will be interesting if these two Japanese raiders go head to head.
Discovery Island (+550) is an interesting runner for Doug Watson and he already has a verdict over a number of these foes when winning the G3 Burj Nahaar last time out. He was a comfortable one-and-a-half-length winner of that race on the dirt. Most of his form has been on dirt, but he handles turf well enough in his early career and looks like an each-way player here.
One of the other fancied runners here is Isolate (+425) who has come from the US and is now under the care of the Doug Watson barn. He was a winner at Saratoga back in August before shipping to Dubai where he has continued to run well with two placed finishes, the last of those coming here at Meydan in Gr3 Mahab Al Shimaal over six furlongs.
Of the bigger prices, then Egot (+1100) looks interesting. He had a prep run for this when finishing runner-up in the Montjeu Stakes at Chantilly in France just a couple of weeks ago. He has competed at a lower class level but will be fit and ready for master trainer Andre Fabre.
The Godolphin Mile Prediction
Japan looks sure to have a stranglehold on the pace angle for the race but of the two main protagonists, it has to be Bathrat Leon who gets a strong vote to win this race for the second year in succession. This is a class drop for him and he can go gate to the wire once more.
Doug Watson holds a strong hand with Isolate and Discovery Island and these two should be in the mix as they line up for the cameraman.
Egot is taking a big step up the class ladder but can be in the mix for a slice underneath with a recent run meaning he comes here at peak fitness.
The Godolphin Mile Odds
|HORSE||ODDS TO WIN THE GODOLPHIN MILE|
|ATLETICO EL CULANO||+6500|
|LAW OF PEACE||+3000|
The Dubai Gold Cup
Grade 2 – Purse $880,000 – 2 miles – Turf – 3-Year-Olds and Up
2021 winner Subjectivist looks to overcome a nearly two-year layoff and come back and claim the Dubai Gold Cup crown once again for the father and son-team of Mark and Charlie Johnston.
Godolphin and trainer Charlie Appleby have the chalk here and that is Siskany (+200) who aims to give the boys in blue yet another graded stakes winner and a home win for Sheik Mohammed.
He won the Listed Dubai Godolphin Stakes at Newmarket in September before a slightly disappointing third next time up at Kempton Park.
He won the first time up this season here at Meydan when taking the G3 Nad Al Sheba Trophy and looks very interesting stretching out to this marathon distance for the first time. He won his last race easily by two lengths and is a major player here under William Buick.
The real interesting runner here is Subjectivist (+650) who won this race in 2021 and he then followed that by winning the Group 1 Gold Cup at Royal Ascot just a couple of months later. However, he has not run since and this will be an almighty training performance from the Johnston barn to get him back and winning again after what was thought a career-ending injury.
Ardakan (+650) who finished behind Siskany last time is sure to appreciate stretching out another two furlongs and can give the chalk plenty to think about. He has only had four career starts, so has plenty of improvement to come.
Global Storm (+900) is one at bigger odds that looks interesting. He has run well in the last two runnings of Europe’s richest handicap, The Ebor Handicap at York, and looks to be another who will relish the stretch out in distance here. He was a winner last time when taking the G2 Dubai City Of Gold Stakes.
We have to mention Passion and Glory (+2500) who is already proven over this distance and was fifth in this race last year. He was a huge 80/1 outsider then, and although he may run well, this looks like a tougher renewal of the race, and he’ll do well to grab a slice underneath.
Two horses with very solid each-way chances are Trawlerman (+1400) and Quickthorn (+1500).
Trawlerman was the winner of last year’s Ebor Handicap at York, and he was not disgraced when finishing third on his final outing of last season in the G2 Long Distance Cup on Qipco Champions Day at Ascot. Quickthorn was behind him that day.
Quickthorn may have found that one race too far after a long season and he can come out on top from those two runners.
The final horse we look at is Andre Fabre’s Sober (+1000) who was third in the G1 Prix Royal Oak at Longchamp in October but has come out this year and won his prep race for this when taking The Bering Stakes at Chantilly over 1 mile and 5 furlongs. He will be sharp fitness-wise and has a strong chance to grab a share of this valuable purse.
The Dubai Gold Cup Prediction
No doubt Siskany has a strong chance of hitting the board but this is a step up the class ladder and he may find one or two of the proven graded stakes performers too tough.
The narrow vote goes to the 2021 winner Subjectivist. If the Johnston barn is happy to enter him then we must believe he is ready and if anywhere near his 2021 form, he could obliterate this field.
Of the others, then race-fit runners Ardakan and Sober look sure to be there or thereabouts as they hit the wire.
The Dubai Gold Cup Odds
|HORSE||ODDS TO WIN THE DUBAI GOLD CUP|
|PASSION AND GLORY||+2500|
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