Grand Prix de Paris Odds & More Longchamp Graded Races

The 14th of July is the date of a French national holiday of Bastille Day, while in the evening, the Paris Longchamp Racecourse traditionally holds a racing meeting. The card comprises two G2 races, Prix Mallaret for fillies and Prix Maurice de Nieuil for older horses; however, the pinnacle is the G1 Grand Prix de Paris for three-year-olds.

Prix Mallaret

Six three-year-old fillies clash in this G2 turf event held over the distance of a mile and a half while fighting for the purse of €130,000. Fall In Love could draw here on her performance from the French Oaks.

Back then, the Hiroo Shimizu bound filly finished fifth despite being one of the biggest outsiders; still, she needs to prove that her Classic effort wasn’t just a fluke. Together with Raclette, she is about to hit such a long distance for the first time.

The Andre Fabre trained Raclette entered the ongoing season with an unbeaten record but disappointed greatly in her 2022 debut, so she wasn’t even pointed then to the Classic races and settled for a Listed company.

At first, she couldn’t get past fourth place, but last time out, Raclette prevailed, while additional furlongs might actually go well into her stride.

But there are fillies in the field who have already covered Thursday’s trip, such as Baiykara, who destroyed a G3 field at Chantilly and could also be good enough to score in this event. Zefania and Whileuweresleeping don’t catch much attention, but Lastotchka could place here after winning a Listed at Longchamp.

HORSEJOCKEYHORSE RACING ODDS BY JAZZSPORTS
BaiykaraChristophe Soumillon+200
RacletteOlivier Peslier+200
Fall In LoveCristian Demuro+250
LastotchkaTheo Bachelot+1000
ZefaniaStephane Pasquier+1000
WhileuweresleepingSoufiane Saadi+2500

Prix Mallaret Betting Choice

Baiykara, as she could progress some more to add another Graded victory to her record.

Grand Prix de Paris

Although the French Derby, slightly longer than a mile and a quarter, knows its winner, three-year-olds also have the chance to clash in a G1 turf race over a mile and a half as this special event is held on Thursday.

The purse of €600,000 lured in six participants, including El Bodegon from the United Kingdom. The James Ferguson bound colt showed affinity towards French tracks as a two-year-old because he landed the G1 Criterium de Saint-Cloud back then.

Even though his seasonal debut in a Classic trial in York resulted only in seventh place, once he was pointed to France again, El Bodegon ran another superb race. In the mentioned Grand Prix du Jockey Club, the bay delivered a great finish to seize second place behind impressive winner Vadeni.

El Bodegon suggested he could handle even a longer trip; however, he’s a son of Kodiac, a well-known producer of brilliant but quite short two-year-olds, and therefore, he needs to prove he’s a capable stayer on Thursday. His class is undeniable, though. Eldar Eldarov is another British raider aiming at G1 glory; moreover, he also strives to keep his unbeaten record.

The Roger Varian trained colt bagged two small races at first, but in June, he secured a G2 success when scoring the Queen’s Vase over a mile and six furlongs. He seems to be a good St Leger colt, but in Thursday’s competition, he should be a vital player, yet his real class is still a bit of a mystery.

The same applies to Piz Badile from Ireland, who ran in second in the Irish Derby; however, he was no match for the runaway winner, while he left behind Tuesday, indeed, still, that filly didn’t seem happy throughout the race. Therefore, it’s a question of whether Piz Badile defeated much back then. Still, he should benefit from the distance. 

Regarding the local trio, Onesto was fifth in the Grand Prix du Jockey Club, while L’Astronome landed the G2 Prix Hocquart, a trial for Thursday’s race. The last to mention is Simca Mille, an easy winner of a G3 event over a mile and a half.

HORSEJOCKEYHORSE RACING ODDS BY JAZZSPORTS
Piz BadilleGavin Ryan+375
Eldar EldarovDavid Egan+400
OnestoStephane Pasquier+350
El BodegonIoritz Mendizabal+650
L’AstronomeChristophe Soumillon+650
Simca MilleTheo Bachelot+650

Grand Prix de Paris Betting Prediction

El Bodegon due to his great result over French tracks. He should benefit from the going if it remains quite soft.

Prix Maurice de Nieuil 

Four-year-old and older horses will clash in this G2 race, offering the purse of €130,000. The field will cover the distance of a mile and six furlongs on the turf surface, while Quickthorn looks like the leading chance here.

The five-year-old gelding trained by Hughie Morrison in the United Kingdom boasted some talent in 2021 when winning two Class 2 races in front of interesting rivals and finished second at the same stage behind a subsequent G1 scorer, Sonnyboyliston.

In 2022, the son of Nathaniel once again bumped into very solid stayers in a Listed and G3 competition where he placed, upon which Quickthorn achieved his premiere Graded victory by landing the G3 Henry II Stakes.

He should be capable of adding another triumph on Thursday; however, he’s more of a horse for a firmer surface, and therefore, he might find a solid opponent in a local participant, The Good Man. The five-year-old bay spent most of his career in handicaps but in 2021; he placed twice at the Graded stage, where he also returned to in the ongoing season.

In May, he caught off guard some exciting horses in the G3 Prix de Barbeville and earned his first Graded victory, while last time out, he ran in third at the G2 level. 

When looking at the field, the mentioned duo are the leading victory candidates, but Germany bound Diamantis could snatch up a place here. The four-year-old bay trained by Andreas Suborics delivered two fine runs in 2022 over a two-mile trip as in the G2 Oleander-Renner he finished third, also beaten by Loft, a subsequent winner in the US, and then he scored a Listed.

Tangut doesn’t look appealing here, while Tip of the Spear has three outings under his belt, so even though he is only a handicap winner, there might be more about him. Jannah Flower bagged a Listed triumph in her seasonal debut, but it’s a question of whether she could be as good as the preferred rivals.

HORSEJOCKEYHORSE RACING ODDS BY JAZZSPORTS
QuickthornTom Marquand+120
The Good ManTheo Bachelot+200
DiamantisMartin Seidl+700
Jannah FlowerStephane Pasquier+700
TangutChristophe Soumillon+1200
Tip Of The SpearSimon Planque+1700

Prix Maurice de Nieuil Betting Pick

Quickthorn, who might prefer a longer trip; still, his class should be enough to bag this.

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