Irish 1,000 Guineas & Gold Cup Odds, Field and Picks

Stardust is sprinkled liberally over The Curragh on Sunday, when last year’s European champion juvenile filly Tahiyra bids for the feature G1 Irish 1,000 Guineas as an overwhelming favourite. Fellow A-listers Vadeni, Bay Bridge and Luxembourg bring powerful credentials as they renew rivalry in the G1 Tattersalls Gold Cup, while on the undercard trainer Joseph O’Brien sends three last-time-out winners – Honey Girl, Goldana and Jumbly – for the G2 Lanwades Stud.

Belmont Stakes Odds

Irish 1,000 Guineas

G1, 500,000 euro, 1m turf, 3yo fillies, 10.50am ET

Classic races very rarely feature an overwhelming odds-on favourite given the competition for such a prize, but that’s the situation in the Irish 1,000 Guineas, the marquee contest on a stakes-heavy Sunday afternoon at The Curragh.

The horse with the short price is Tahiyra (8-15), last year’s European champion two-year-old filly, who deserves her odds after a tremendous performance in defeat in the soft-ground G1 1,000 Guineas over a mile at Newmarket three weeks ago. She and the winner Mawj – who had the benefit of a run under her belt – drew right away from a good field, and she went down by just a half-length after a ferocious battle, with seven lengths of daylight back to the third horse and the no-show Meditate (11-2) more than ten lengths back in sixth.

Tahiyra earned her championship honours with a very impressive success in the G1 Moyglare Stud here over seven furlongs in September, surging past the front-running Meditate to win going away by two and a quarter lengths, with Eternal Silence (18-1) – who hasn’t run since – rallying when the race was over for third, another four and a half lengths back.

In between those defeats, Meditate was an easy winner of the G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf, so given that Tahiyra has already beaten her comprehensively twice it’s no surprise that the betting market looks so cut and dried. Her trainer Dermot Weld has won this race five times, including when successful 12 months ago.

Her barnmate Tarawa (12-1) is progressive but a step or two behind, having finished runner-up on her stakes debut in the G3 Cornelscourt over a mile at Leopardstown, when she came from some way back after the all-the-way winner had gone beyond recall. The rallying Aspen Grove (40-1) was a length and a quarter back in third on her first run of 2023, with Comhra (100-1) fifth, beaten another two lengths.

Meditate’s trainer Aidan O’Brien has – no surprise – won this a record ten times including four of the last six editions, and in Meditate has a high-class contender who, as we’ve seen, is zero-for-two against Tahiyra. That defeat at Newmarket was the first time Meditate has finished out of the first two and all the trainer’s horses ran below-par that weekend, so she has strong claims to rebound from that although it’ll need another career-best to stop the favourite.

O’Brien has two other darts for the target, with the inexperienced Jackie Oh (12-1) the better of them after finishing runner-up on her stakes debut over ten furlongs in the mud at Navan. The better ground here may help but the cutback may not, while barnmate Dower House (66-1) is zero-for-four in stakes since winning her maiden and looks held.

Both Breege (50-1), a no-kick fifth behind top-class Blue Rose Cen in the G1 Marcel Boussac at Longchamp in October on her most recent start, and You Send Me (25-1), runner-up in the G3 Amethyst over a mile at Leopardstown on her stakes debut, have ability but need huge improvement to figure.

Irish 1,000 Guineas Odds & Betting Pick

It’s impossible to look away from TAHIYRA, who has beaten her main market rival twice and will be sharper after a brilliant performance in defeat in G1 company last time.

HorseJockeyOdds by Jazzsports
TahiyraChris Hayes-188
MeditateRyan Moore+550
Jackie OhSeamie Heffernan+1200
TarawaW J Lee+1200
Eternal SilenceShane Foley+1800
You Send MeColin Keane+2500
Aspen GroveMark Enright+4000
BreegeJason Hart+5000
Dower HouseWayne Lordan+6600
ComhraRory Cleary+10000

Tattersalls Gold Cup

G1, 450,000 euro, 1m 5/16 turf, 4yo+, 9.45am ET

With three top-class contenders with previous history going head-to-head again, the Tattersalls Gold Cup is just as much a draw as the headline 1,000 Guineas, and almost certainly much more competitive.

Part of the allure is the rubber match between Bay Bridge (15-8) and Vadeni (15-8), who was supplemented for this at a cost of 45,000 euro. The pair met in the G1 Ganay at Longchamp last month over this distance on soft ground and ran a disappointing three-four, when much better was expected despite it being their first starts of 2023.

Bay Bridge was a length and a half ahead of Vadeni and patently looked as though the run would bring him on, only fading in the closing stages. Vadeni, on the other hand, never threw a punch and must have been working much better at home since then to merit that supplementary fee. In their previous meeting, in the ten-furlong G1 Eclipse at Sandown last July, Vadeni came home a narrow winner with Bay Bridge four lengths back in fifth after running too keen early on.

In between, Bay Bridge was a half-length winner of the ten-furlong G1 Champion at Ascot in October, while Vadeni ran a powerful race to be runner-up in the G1 Arc de Triomphe over a mile and a half at Longchamp, rallying hard and beaten just a half-length.

Both horses are fine on this much faster ground and both should be in fighting trim on their second start. There won’t be much between them, although it’s conceivable that Vadeni may want to stretch out now.

There’s also a connection to the third big hitter Luxembourg (11-4), whose trainer Aidan O’Brien has won three of the last five runnings and a record nine in all. Luxembourg had Vadeni a length and three-quarters back in third when winning the ten-furlong G1 Irish Champion at Leopardstown in September – Vadeni racing as though he’d be okay to go longer – but was only seventh in the Arc and was very disappointing on his first start of 2023, a career-worst.

He came home fifth in the G2 Mooresbridge here over ten furlongs, losing position at a crucial stage before keeping on again late. He is almost certain to move back up from that, but he lacks tactical speed and this short field may not be a positive on that score.

Mooresbridge two-three Layfayette (33-1) and Piz Badile (25-1) are solid at a lower level but, along with Mooresbridge sixth Trevaunance (50-1), it’s tough to see any of them beating all three of the established G1 aces.

Gold Cup Odds & Betting Prediction

His recent run will have put a keen edge on BAY BRIDGE, a G1 winner with fewer questions to answer than his two market rivals, both disappointing last time out.

HorseJockeyOdds by Jazzsports
Bay BridgeRichard Kingscote+175
VadeniChristophe Soumillon+188
LuxembourgRyan Moore+300
Piz BadileGavin Ryan+2500
LayfayetteColin Keane+3300
TrevaunanceShane Foley+5000

Lanwades Stud Stakes

G2, 120,000 euro, 1m turf, 4yo+ females, 10.15am ET

His father Aidan is not represented but Joseph O’Brien makes up for that by sending three for the Lanwades Stud, and all of them with winning form on their most recent starts.

The pick of the trio is probably Honey Girl (3-1), who has won both her starts – her only victories – since joining O’Brien and dialled up a career-best last time in the G3 Athasi here over seven furlongs, producing a dominant display to draw off by three and a half lengths after travelling like a winner throughout.

Stretching back out to a mile won’t be an issue, given the powerful way she tore that race apart, and it would be a surprise if either Just Beautiful (15-2) or Star Girls Aalmal (12-1), who ran five-six with a half-length between them, could summon up the vigour to flip the form. Just Beautiful is entitled to move up a little from that first start of 2023, but Star Girls Aalmal has never even hit the board in seven tries in stakes company.

Then there’s Goldana (5-1), who also won on her first start for O’Brien after importing from Germany, making her breakthrough at Group level when keeping on well to lead close home in the G3 Gladness here over seven furlongs, value for a little more than the official margin of a length and three-quarters.

She won a stakes over nine furlongs in Germany and this distance should suit ideally, as it will for Jumbly (7-2), who has her debut for the stable after winning the G3 Valiant at Ascot over a mile on her most recent start, last July. The ten-month layoff could be a concern and don’t put too much weight on the presence of Ryan Moore in the saddle, as the filly is owned by his retained Coolmore conglomerate.

The biggest threat to O’Brien domination is the tough Insinuendo (3-1), who usually shines at longer distances but showed she had the legs for shorter when taking down the G3 Park Express over course and distance with a typically strong finish, beating Redressed (12-1) by a length and a half after that filly had given up lengths with a slow start.

She’s better over further, though, while there’s a big query about Redressed after she finished last of 14 in a stakes on her most recent start. Spring Feeling (22-1) moves back up in distance after a flat effort over six furlongs on her seasonal bow, but is the lowest-rated in the field and needs an easier spot.

Lanwades Stud Stakes Odds & Betting Pick

Joseph O’Brien holds the aces and HONEY GIRL, who has gone from strength to strength since joining the yard, can build on her recent career-best and complete a hat-trick.

HorseJockeyOdds by Jazzsports
Honey GirlDylan Mcmonagle+300
InsinuendoDeclan McDonogh+300
JumblyRyan Moore+350
GoldanaMikey Sheehy+500
Just BeautifulW J Lee+750
RedressedColin Keane+1200
Star Girls AalmalChris Hayes+1200
Spring FeelingRonan Whelan+2200

Come Back for the latest 2023 Belmont Odds. Check the World’s major Racetracks entries and don’t forget to Sign-up and get a 10% horse rebate. We have the biggest rebate!

Preview banner

Raise your winning chances, with our Horse Betting Guide. We have a guide for all levels!

Follow us on Social Media for instant Irish 1,000 Guineas & Curragh updates!