It is time to take an early look at the up-and-coming fillies, with the G1 Kentucky Oaks at Churchill Downs next May already attracting plenty of interest. The trifecta from the G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies – Just FYI, Jody’s Pride and Candied – are established at the head of the future book, with the exciting West Sunset and Ways And Means also prominent in the betting. Here’s our 2024 Kentucky Oaks Future Book!
2024 Kentucky Oaks Future Book
G1 – Purse $1.5m – 1m 1f – dirt – 3yo fillies – Churchill Downs – May 3
The outlook for the Kentucky Oaks is a little different from the Kentucky Derby Future Book, as without the need to worry about stallion values it is more likely that the Oaks winner will have had a less rigorous juvenile campaign, and not appear on the radar as early as the hot-ticket colts.
That said, there is always a champion two-year-old filly and this year Just FYI is the undisputed leader. She is unbeaten in three, including the 2023 G1 Frizette at Aqueduct and the 2023 G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies at Santa Anita over a mile-sixteenth.
She stalked a fast pace in California, went to the lead and held on well to deny the persistent Jody’s Pride by a neck, with Candied coming along late for the show, another half-length behind. Further back were Scalable in fifth and the heavy chalk Tamara, who led until emptying right out, only seventh.
That was Jody’s Pride’s stakes debut and she ran a race full of high promise, while Candied had previously nailed the 2023 G1 Alcibiades at Keeneland, emphasizing the strength of the BC Juvenile Fillies. Tamara, winner of the 2023 G1 Del Mar Debutante, was disappointing, but she came out of the race with an injury and will miss two months of training. This may impact on her Oaks prospects.
The unbeaten West Sunset made a big splash when rolling her rivals flat on her stakes debut, over a mile-sixteenth on a sloppy track at Churchill Downs. She went gate-to-wire and romped by six and three-quarter lengths, with hot favorite VV’s Dream – a G3 winner and previously runner-up to Candied in that G1 Alcibiades – a well-beaten third.
West Sunset will need to prove she can make it pay up in grade, but she has a ton of potential and her trainer has won the Oaks twice in the last six years.
Dreamfyre and Dua ran one-three in the 2023 G3 Sorrento over six furlongs at Del Mar in August, but Dreamfyre then switched to the lawn and was thrashed in the 2023 G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf, while Dua is currently ineligible for the Oaks given trainer Bob Baffert’s ban from Churchill Downs. Neither make much appeal as Oaks prospects.
The wide-margin maiden winner Ways And Means finished lame when runner-up in the seven-furlong 2023 G1 Spinaway at Saratoga in September. She will be a very interesting prospect when returning in 2024, as will the unbeaten Thorpedo Anna, who has yet to try stakes level but looked ready for it when crushing the field by nine lengths in a Churchill Downs allowance over a mile.
2024 Kentucky Oaks Odds
|Odds by JazzSports
|Ways And Means