Newmarket 1000 & 2000 Guineas Odds, Field and Picks

Can Aidan O’Brien win yet another edition of The 2000 Guineas as he fields the top two picks on the board in Auguste Rodin and Little Big Bear? Here the Newmarket 1000 & 2000 Guineas betting preview!

2000 guineas

Grade 1 – Purse $620,000 – 1 mile – Turf – 3-Year-Old Colts

We have to start with the chalk here and that is Auguste Rodin from the powerful Ballydoyle barn of Aidan O’Brien. This colt was beaten on his two-year-old debut but then broke the maiden tag a second time around over 7 furlongs at Naas Racecourse.

He then took a step up the class ladder to take in the G2 Champions Juvenile Stakes which he won comfortably carrying a 3lb penalty. His final run of the campaign came in the G1 Vertem Futurity Trophy Stakes at Doncaster, a renowned trial for the 2000 Guineas he showed vast improvement to stalk the leaders until hitting the furlong pole, where he widened to win by more than 3 lengths in hand. He has yet to run as a three-year-old but that has never been a problem for horses from the O’Brien barn, and he’ll be spot on for this.

O’Brien also has the favorite’s barn buddy here Little Big Bear. Like Auguste Rodin, he finished second on his opening run in maiden company and then broke that tag next time at Naas when taking a 5-furlong event. It is interesting to note that all of his runs have come over sprint distances.

Next up was Royal Ascot where he stepped up to stakes company and was a game-winner of the Windsor Castle Stakes. He traveled well into the race but only managed to get on top close to the wire, and clearly, five furlongs was on the short side for him.

He has since stepped up the class ladder to win his next two over six furlongs, including the Grade 3 Anglesey Stakes and the Grade 1 Phoenix Stakes. On the last mentioned, he went gate to wire, and from the furlong pole, he widened to be a seven-length winner at the wire.

Godolphin always has a strong hand in this first classic of the season and they have Silver Knott and Noble Style, with the James Doyle-ridden runner unbeaten after three starts. He broke the maiden tag first time near enough a year to the day, taking a strong-looking race over five furlongs at Ascot. He showed plenty of speed that day and could be one that may be stalking the pace. He stepped up the class ladder afterward and took the Grade 2 Gimcrack Stakes at York on his final two-year-old run and he looks a foe for the O’Brien barn to be concerned about.

One of the other fancied runners is Chaldean ridden by Frankie Dettori, and he won four of his five starts as a two-year-old but unshipped his jockey on his first run this season in the Greenham Stakes at Newbury. His final win last season came in the Grade 1 Dewhurst here at Newmarket.

At the bigger prices then Holloway Boy has to be of interest to exotics players. Never off the board and caused a huge shock at Royal Ascot when breaking the maiden tag in The Chesham Stakes as a big shot on the boards. He is a very big colt, so what he achieved at two years old was a bonus. He was behind Auguste Rodin in the Vertem Futurity Stakes but hung badly that day. He looks too big a price on the boards.

2023 2000 Guineas Odds & Betting Pick

Little Big Bear and Auguste Rodin are going to be difficult to beat but of the two, the 124-rated Little Big Bear gets our vote to come out on top from the O’Brien runners.

However, our selection is NOBLE STYLE who looked like a very exciting two-year-old. He is clearly stepping up the class ladder against some proven Grade 1 winning foes but with untapped potential, he looks like the one who can shake up the O’Brien pair.

For those looking at exotics and an across-the-board play, then Holloway Boy has to be on anyone’s shortlist.

HorseJockeyOdds by Jazzsports
Auguste RodinRyan Moore+188
Little Big BearWayne Lordan+500
Chaldean Frankie Dettori+750
Royal ScotsmanJim Crowley+900
SakheerDavid Egan+900
Holloway BoyChristophe Soumillon+1800
Indesctructible Kevin Scott+2500
Noble StyleJames Doyle+1800
Dubai MileDaniel Muscutt+4000
Charyn Tom Marquand+4000
Flight Plan Daniel Tudhope+8000
GaleronKieran Shoemaker+10000
Hi Royal Oisin Murphy+150000

1000 Guineas

Grade 1 – Purse $620,000 – 1 mile – Turf – 3-Year-Old Fillies

Can Tahiyra provide the Aga Khan with another classic winner to seal one of the most amazing journeys in world horse racing?

A huge field of twenty runners go to post for this fillies classic, and the chalk for this race is Tahiyra

She has only run twice in her career so far, breaking the maiden tag the first time before being stepped up the class ladder to contest the Grade 1 Moyglare Stud Stakes where she ran out an easy winner from another of today’s rivals Meditate. That performance got her an official speed figure of 118 and she is simply the best here on ratings. Trained at the barn of the master Dermot Weld, she looks a worthy favorite.

Meditate 5/1 from the powerful O’Brien barn, had no answer to Tahiyra in the “Moyglare” and will do well to turn that form around. She tried to go gate to wire here and widened at the two-furlong pole by a couple of lengths, but Chris Hayes had the winner in hand all the way and when he let loose, the response was sensational and she hit the wire two lengths clear with another five lengths back to the third horse.

Looking at others that could give the chalk something to think about, then Mamma’s Girl 5/1 is another filly who is unbeaten in two races, and importantly they have both come here on Newmarket’s Rowley Mile racecourse.

She broke the maiden tag first time here last year but took a huge step forward on her seasonal debut just two weeks ago to take the main trial for the race, The Nell Gwynn Stakes. She was held up off the pace before making a mid-race move and came to challenge from last to first in the final furlong and widened away to win by two lengths at the wire. She beat Fairy Cross (2nd) and Karsavina (4th) and should confirm that form.

One that could run a big race at big odds on the board is Polly Pott. She did not break the maiden until the third attempt but took a huge step forward from there to win a handicap before stepping up the class ladder to win the Grade 2 May Hill Stakes at . She then went up the class ladder again and was 4th of 8 in the G1 Fillies Mile here at Newmarket in October, closing late.

2023 1000 Guineas Odds & Betting Prediction

We have no doubt the best piece of form from these fillies is that of Tahiyra in the Moyglare Stud Stakes and she may be just too good for these. However, this will be her first run after a 238-day layoff.

Therefore our main selection is MAMMA’S GIRL from the Richard Hannon barn, a team who have tasted success in this race in recent years. She is sure to be fit after her win two weeks ago and the way she widened in the final furlong means she has good tactical speed to stalk again.

Meditate and Polly Pott should be battling for a slice underneath.

HorseJockeyOdds by Jazzsports
TahiyraChris Hayes+250
MeditateRyan Moore+450
Mammas GirlKevin Scott+600
RemarqueeRob Hornby+700
Dream Of LoveWilliam Buick+800
MawjOisin Murphy+1400
LezooFrankie Dettori+1400
Stenton GliderTom Marquand+2500
Naomi LapagliaKieran Shoemaker
Never Ending Storyscratched
PowerdressSean Levy+3300
Fairy CrossJames Doyle+4000
Matilda PicotteRonan Whelan+4000
CaernarfonConnor Beasley+5000
EmbraceDaniel Muscutt+5000
KarsavinaRossa Ryan+6600
Dance In The GrassJoe Fanning+8000
Juliet Sierrascratched
Olivia MaraldaDavid Egan+8000
Polly PottJim Crowley+6600
Queen MeMickael Barzalona+8000
Sweet HarmonyBilly Loughnane+10000

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