The Hyacinth Stakes Odds & Betting Pick

Japan’s points-paying Road to Kentucky Derby 2023 resumes Sunday with the running of the Hyacinth Stakes over 1,600 meters (about one mile) on dirt at Tokyo Racecourse. Post time for the Hyacinth is 12:25 a.m. EST

Hyacinth Stakes

Listed – Purse $270,000 – 1600 meters (1 mile) – Dirt – 3-Year-Olds

Monde Plume looks to get his career back on track while Fuji Rapunzel looks to add to her prolific win record in the highly competitive Hyacinth Stakes.

A very open listed contest and we have to start with Monde Plume who was a very promising two-year-old that ran seven times and won twice. He was slow to get started and only broke the maiden tag on the fourth attempt, but then finished second in minor stakes company before taking in the Grade 1 Hopeful Stakes where he finished seventeenth of the eighteen runners.

That might look bad at first glance, but that race has thrown up lots of winners and this is a huge class drop for the son of Satono Diamond.

Plenty of winners here and none more prolific than the filly Fuji Rapunzel who had eight starts as a two-year-old and won six of them. Those wins came at a lower level, but this one deserves a chance against these tougher foes and it will be interesting to see how he handles the step up the class ladder.

Two here that already have proven form at this level are Goraiko who has won his last two and won a Listed contest on the slop at Monbetsu when last seen, and Omatsuri Otoko who has hit the board on all five starts, including three wins. His form is rock solid and he is the likely chalk here.

He won the first time up and then stepped up the class ladder to finish third in a Grade 3. He won on the class drop next time and has since won and finished second in this spot. His wins have come over shorter, so he needs to prove he can stay the mile, but has likely strengthened off a two-month lay and has to be one of the main fancies.

Of the lesser exposed maiden winners, one that is sure to progress is Perriere who won his first two and then took a step up the class ladder to finish third in this spot over this distance last time. His win two back came here at Tokyo racecourse, so his chance is clear to see and he’ll be fancied on the boards.

Another promising maiden winner is Tsukai Real who broke the maiden tag on his second start before finding minor stakes company too much on his final start in 2022. He is one runner who has already had a run this year when winning a minor stakes race, so is clearly a progressive type, and could be one for exotics players at a potentially bigger price, along with Z Lien and the class dropper Dondengaeshi.

2023 Hyacinth Stakes Odds & Betting Prediction

A very competitive Listed event and it looks impossible for Omatsuri Otoko to miss the board. He is a highly progressive colt and although a likely short price, his chance is there for all to see.

It was a tough call to pick one for the win but the class dropper MONDE PLUME gets a narrow vote. Such was the depth of the Grade 1 he contested last time that it might just have been too much. He should find it much easier in these calmer waters and can continue the progression he showed before that run.

Perriere and Tsukai Real look interesting as less exposed runners and both can be expected to be in the firing line and could be fighting it out for a slice underneath.

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