On Sunday, the best Canadian horses will face off in the 2022 Autumn Stakes (G2) over a mile and a half a furlong at Woodbine Racetrack. Although the race attracted well-known names like Artie’s Storm, Mighty Heart, or Froster Over, its leading chance could be found in a gelding with no Graded experience. However, four-year-old Treason looks like a real deal here.
The purse of $175,000 lured in a field of eleven three-year-old and older horses who will cover the distance of a mile and a half a furlong.
On the all-weather track, four-year-old Treason (2-1) is preferred to land this G2 event even though he’s about to meet the Graded company for the very first time.
The Josie Carroll trained gelding has five starts under the belt, winning only a maiden and an Allowance race. However, his performance was outstanding in the latter.
The son of Constitution jumped out of the gate quickly and set the pace, and the closer he got to the wire, the bigger his advantage over the rest of the field became. In the end, Treason scored the race by more than 16 lengths, and if he delivered a similar effort on Sunday, he may defeat much more experienced rivals.
Unlike Treason, four-year-old Artie’s Storm (5-1) regularly runs in the Canadian Graded races, as he most notably bagged the G2 Stella Artois Eclipse Stakes in May. Subsequently, he collected three-second places in G3s despite carrying big weights.
The Paul Buttigieg-trained gelding is a reliable specimen who always tries hard in the closing stages, and even though he’ll be disadvantaged over his rivals once again in terms of weight, he needs to be respected.
On Sunday, Artie’s Storm is about to face Who’s The Star (6-1) again, who bettered him in the G3 Durham Cup Stakes in October. Although the four-year-old colt failed to impress at the G2 stage prior to that victory, his finish was quite eye-catching in the mentioned G3, and alongside War Bomber (12-1), the G3 Seagram Stakes victor, he is a vital place contender.
Still, the favorite should fear the most a different rival – four-year-old Harlan Estate (4-1). Trained by Kevin Attard, the gelding has been progressive throughout this season, and especially in summer, the son of Kantharos displayed some serious class.
After bagging a couple of Allowance wins, he secured a solid second place in the G2 King Edward Stakes and affirmed to be accounted for among smart horses at the Listed stage, where he once again took second place.
The field is packed with several other interesting names; however, these horses currently either lack form or reached their peak in the past while now looking unable to pose a threat to the leading chances.
2022 Autumn Stakes Betting Prediction
Autumn Stakes is Treason betting pick, whose performance in the Allowance race suggested he should be able to take on even the Canadian elite.
|HORSE||JOCKEY||ODDS BY JAZZSPORTS|
|Harlan Estate||Leo Salles||+400|
|Novo Sol (BRZ)||Patrick Husbands||+1200|
|War Bomber (IRE)||Sahin Civaci||+1200|
|Mighty Heart||Luis Contreras||+2000|
|Frosted Over||Kazushi Kimura||+1200|
|Who’s the Star||Emma-Jayne Wilson||+600|
|Riptide Rock||Slade Jones||+2000|
|Money Printer||Rafael Manuel Hernandez||+1200|
|Artie’s Storm||David Moran||+500|
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