On Sunday, the 2022 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe will see the fight of twenty horses clashing at the Paris Longchamp Racecourse in France. The winner will earn a berth in the Breeders’ Cup Turf at Keeneland
Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe
The richest turf race is open to three-year-old and older horses who will fight for the purse of €5,000,000. The full field of twenty horses will cover the distance of a mile and a half, while the leading victory candidate currently is three-year-old Luxembourg. The Aidan O’Brien trained bay has six starts under his belt as he started off as a junior in a maiden, then successfully faced the G2 competition in the Beresford Stakes and concluded the season with a bang in the G1 Vertem Futurity Trophy Stakes.
In 2022, he reappeared in the 2000 Guineas, where he ran a great race in third, upon which Luxembourg wasn’t entirely sound and waited until August to achieve another victory as he scored the G3 at Curragh. Subsequently, his form has risen considerably because he was aimed at the G1 Irish Champion Stakes, where Luxembourg finally demonstrated his class, bagging a tight win over a mile and a quarter.
Being the son of Camelot, the bay should stay the Arc trip; he shouldn’t be bothered much by the ground, so the only issue deals with the fact that Irish Champion Stakes was a demanding race, and he might not be able to improve on that. Still, being a favorite seems reasonable here.
While Ireland relies mostly on Luxembourg, the United Kingdom has two outstanding chances. Five-year-old Alpinista collected three G1 wins in 2021 as she utterly stormed the German tracks, while in this season, the Mark Prescott bound grey added other two treasured triumphs to her resume.
At first, she bagged the G1 Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud and then bettered Tuesday in the G1 Yorkshire Oaks. She’s a great mare, but it’s possible she won’t be classy enough to defeat Luxembourg, while the same concerns surround Westover.
The three-year-old colt finished a gallant third in the Epsom Derby, after which he destroyed the field in the Irish Derby. However, his performance in the G1 King George VI & Queen Elizabeth was nothing short of disappointing. Still, if the jockey keeps him in the field, Westover could be the race’s black horse.
To stay in Europe, we need to mention French hopes, especially Vadeni, the victor of the Grand Prix du Jockey Club and the Coral-Eclipse Stakes in Sandown. The Jean-Claude Rouget trained colt has a brilliant turn of foot; however, it wasn’t enough to bag the Irish Champion Stakes, where he had to settle for third. He’s a classy horse, yet the distance could be an issue, unlike Onesto, who took second place in the Irish Champion Stakes.
He likes the distance and the going, so Onesto should definitely be considered here. The last European horse to talk about is Torquator Tasso, who won the last year’s Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe. The sensational victor is trained by Marcel Weiss, and even though his 2022 debut was lacklustre, the five-year-old chestnut then went on to win a G2 in Hamburg and finish second in the King George VI & Queen Elizabeth Stakes and Grosser Pres von Baden. He seems to be in form and ready to become a back-to-back winner with Frankie Dettori aboard.
Japan relies this year on four runners, including the super stayer Titleholder, winner of the last year’s Japanese St Leger and other two G1 races. He’ll stay, but scoring the Arc from the front will be difficult.
| HORSE | JOCKEY | ODDS BY JAZZSPORTS |
| Luxembourg | Ryan Moore | +350 |
| Alpinista | Luke Morris | +500 |
| Torquator Tasso | Frankie Dettori | +750 |
| Vanedi | Christophe Soumillon | +800 |
| Titleholder | Kazuo Yokoyama | +900 |
| Westover | Rob Hornby | +1000 |
| Onesto | Stephane Pasquier | +1200 |
| Al Hakeem | Cristian Demuro | +2500 |
| Mare Australis | Bauyrzhan Murzabayev | +2500 |
| Mendocino | Rene Piechulek | +2500 |
| Mishriff | William Buick | +2500 |
| Do Deuce | Yutaka Take | +3300 |
| Sealiway | Mickael Barzalona | +4000 |
| Mostahdaf | Jim Crowley | +5000 |
| Bubble Gift | Olivier Peslier | +6600 |
| Alenquer | Tom Marquand | +8000 |
| Broome | Wayne Lordan | +8000 |
| Deep Bond | Yuga Kawada | +8000 |
| Grand Glory | Maxime Guyon | +8000 |
| Stay Foolish | Christophe-Patrice Lemaire | +8000 |
Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Betting Prediction
Westover. His recent flop still could be excused, and if he delivers similar performance as in the Irish Derby, he could seize the win here.
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